2024 Trend Report for Planners
By Petra Hurtado, PhD, Sagar Shah, PhD, AICP, Joseph DeAngelis, AICP, Ievgeniia Dulko, Senna Catenacci, Scarlet Andrzejczak
APA Foresight helps planners navigate change and prepare for an uncertain future. With foresight in mind, planners can guide change, create more sustainable and equitable outcomes, and establish themselves as critical to thriving communities. Foresight is not about predicting the future — it is about understanding drivers of change that are outside of our control, how we can prepare for them, and when it is time to act. APA Foresight identifies emerging trends and how scenarios stemming from each may impact the world, our communities, and the planning profession in the years to come.
This is the third Trend Report for Planners developed by the American Planning Association (APA) in partnership with the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy. As in previous years, the 2024 Trend Report features a list of over 100 existing, emerging, and potential future trends that the APA Foresight team, together with our Trend Scouting Foresight Community, identified as relevant to planning. The trends are structured within three timeframes (Act Now, Prepare, Learn, and Watch), which indicate the urgency of planners’ actions. Within each timeframe, trends are grouped into themed clusters. For each trend, the report gives insights and explains why it is important for planners to know about and consider the trend in their work. All trends and signals are based on facts and are neutrally described without judgement.
The purpose of the report is to share potential drivers of change and shifts that will possibly impact the work of planners and/or the communities we serve as planners.
This report was developed in partnership with the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy.
Details
About the Authors
Petra Hurtado, PhD
Petra (Stieninger) Hurtado, Ph.D. is the Chief Foresight & Knowledge Officer at the American Planning Association, leading APA’s foresight practice to leverage knowledge as a catalyst for innovation and resilience in the planning profession and the organization.
She has a Ph.D. in urban planning from the Vienna University of Technology. Her areas of expertise and research include strategic foresight, urban futures and emerging technologies, urban sustainability, and environmental psychology.
Before joining APA, Petra worked as an advisor, planner, and educator in the global sustainability arena. As an adjunct professor, Petra has taught courses on planning with foresight at the University of Maryland and on urban sustainability and environmental psychology at the Vienna University of Technology. She has presented as a keynote speaker and subject matter expert at numerous conferences across the globe and guest lectured at Harvard GSD, Virginia Tech, among other universities.
Passionate about empowering people to thrive in dynamic environments, Petra combines academic rigor with practical wisdom to inspire action and drive positive change.
Sagar Shah, PhD, AICP
Sagar Shah serves as the Manager of Research and Strategic Initiatives at the American Planning Association (APA), leveraging over 15 years of rich experience in community planning. With a focus on the nexus of planning and health, his research delves into effectively integrating health and equity considerations into planning practices. Within APA, Sagar spearheads the 'upskill planners' initiative, dedicated to empowering planners with new skills to thrive in evolving environments. He also plays a pivotal role as a core member of APA’s Foresight Team, actively studying influential external factors - such as AI - that significantly impact planners' roles. Sagar earned his Ph.D. in Regional Development Planning from the University of Cincinnati and holds a Master’s degree in Planning from the University of Southern California. He is a certified planner accredited by the American Institute of Certified Planners.
Joseph DeAngelis, AICP
Joseph DeAngelis, AICP, is a planner and research manager at the American Planning Association, where he focuses on climate adaptation, natural hazard risk, and how they interact with emerging trends. He holds a Master of Urban Planning degree from CUNY-Hunter College.
Ievgeniia Dulko
Zhenia, a planner and researcher with an MA in Planning from the University of Illinois at Chicago, is currently a foresight manager at the American Planning Association. In her role, she focuses on developing the annual Trend Report for Planners and advancing the application of strategic foresight in the planning profession.
Senna Catenacci
Senna is a graduate of the University of Michigan with degrees in Environment and Political Science, and currently works at the American Planning Association. She conducts research for APA's grant-funded projects and Foresight initiative, primarily in helping with the development of the annual Trend Report.
Scarlet Andrzejczak
Scarlet Andrzejczak is a Research Associate in the Department of Research & Advisory Services at American Planning Association. Her specialties and interests include hazard mitigation, habitat restoration, resilience planning, artificial intelligence, and planning for equitable community outcomes. Scarlet obtained a Master of Community Planning degree and Graduate Urban Design certificate from University of Cincinnati in 2023.
Table of Contents
The Framework
About this report
About the American Planning Association, and the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy
Contributors
Methodology
APA's Trend Universe
The Trends We Need to Act on Now
The AI Era
Looming Climate Impacts and Adaptation Challenges
Climate Mitigation: Skilled Workers, Tech, and Policies
Housing Challenges and Solutions
Political Polarization and Societal Division
Persisting Transportation Inequities
The Value of Youth
The Trends We Need to Prepare For
Global Dynamics and a New Economic Landscape
Immersive City for and by the People
The Future of Jobs
Moving toward a Polycrisis
Emerging Forms of Transportation
The Continuing Evolution of Work and Retail
The Trends We Need to Learn and Watch
Innovations in the Energy Sector
Mitigating Climate Change through Geoengineering
Curiosities and Game Changing Innovations
The New SpaceUpskilling: Planning Competencies and
Skills
PlanTech
Conclusion
The Future of Planning
Upskilling: Planning Competencies and Skills
PlanTech
Conclusion